KSTACKING Pre-market brief

Your Pre-Market brief before the opening bell.

Live pre-market • 8:45 pm ET

Last updated: 8:45 pm ET · 2025

Tickers NVDA +0.56% META +0.26% TSLA +0.91% AAPL +0.24% MSFT -0.12% AMZN +0.40% GOOGL +0.36% SOFI -1.53%

Most Mentioned Today NVDA ↑ META ↑ SOFI ↑ NBIS ↑ GOOGL ↑ QQQ ↓ HOOD ↑

🌍 US Futures • Fed fractures • NVDA $400B swing

SPY -1.4% Sliding into $652–$654 pivot

QQQ -1.9% Tech fades after NVDA reversal

VIX ↑ Volatility elevated

👀 Fed officials turn cautious, Morgan Stanley drops December cut call, NVDA whipsaws on macro shock.

Your daily market brief, before the world wakes up.

Macro mood, key levels, and my personal watchlist, so I’m ready when the opening bell rings.

Morning Brief

Narrative before the opening bell

Snapshot of what matters before the bell — macro, index levels, and the main narrative driving risk-on / risk-off.

Fed fractures deepen as officials flag renewed inflation worries and a divided December outlook.

Barr signals concern; Paulson turns cautious on the next move, keeping rate-cut hopes in check.

Morgan Stanley drops its call for a December rate cut after a hotter-than-expected payrolls report.

Strong jobs (+119k vs ~50k expected) stiffen yields and pressure risk assets as SPY leans on support.

NVDA sees a wild ~$400B intraday swing as AI euphoria meets macro fear; Oracle/CoreWeave CDS and a $190M Meta settlement add to jitters.

Earnings remain strong, but credit spreads and legal headlines keep tech volatility high into tomorrow’s session.

Bias: Risk-off from Fed tone 🔻

Catalyst: Payrolls & Fed guidance ⚠️

Theme: “AI strength vs macro fear”

Key levels I’m watching

SPY ⚡ pivot / buyers zone $652–$654

This is the main pivot. Break & hold below here = increased downside pressure and possible revisit of deeper demand.

Fail this zone = bear momentum returns.

Bull path 💜 $674 → $678–$682

Reclaiming $674 is the key — above that it’s “sayonara” into the $678–$682 expansion zone.

Clean upside once resistance breaks.

Bear path 🔻 Below $652

Losing the pivot at $652–$654 opens the door to aggressive continuation lower. Break & hold below here = increased downside pressure and possible revisit of lower demand.

If buyers fail here, momentum shifts back to sellers.

Below pivot = full bear control.

Watchlist & Signals

Kstacking Watchlist & Signals

Core names I monitor every morning — growth engines, option premium machines, and index anchors I track for direction.

SPY

-1.40%

Sitting directly on the $652–$654 pivot · fail = bear continuation.

NVDA

-3.8%

$400B intraday swing · strong earnings but macro erased gains.

Downside Flush Zones

Local support

$86,000

Today’s intraday low area · first bounce zone.

Key support

$83,700

Multi-month base from April/July · your first major “buy-the-fear” alert.

Deep flush

$83,340

Liquidation pocket · if hit with heavy volume, watch for fast V-reversal.

Panic floor

$75,500

Full capitulation zone · RSI likely sub-25 · next cycle leg often starts here.

Upside Reclaim Levels

First reclaim

$88,500

Flip back above here = short-term stabilization after the flush.

Momentum gate

$90,800

If BTC holds above this zone with volume, selling pressure starts to fade.

Trend flip

$93,000

Above prior local high · opens path back toward the upper range.

Investor's Playbook

Top 10 things I check before trading

Builtwhat actually matters before the market opens — a checklist of the 10 things.

Setup & risk

1. Macro mood (Futures, VIX, rates) risk-on / risk-off
2. Key levels (SPY bull / bear paths) where can it flip?
3. Reddit sentiment on my tickers (SOFI, NVDA, TSLA, APP) crowd mood
4. Risk meter for the day (size, stops, max loss) don’t blow up
5. Upcoming catalysts (earnings, FOMC, tariffs, jobs data) news landmines

Plays & learning

6. Options radar (volume, unusual flow, 0DTE noise filter) signal > noise
7. Income corner (dividends, CSP / CC ideas) cashflow
8. Position check (size vs. account, conviction, time frame) journal
9. Red / green plan (profit target + stop level) exit rules
10. One lesson I’m applying today from Reddit / books / Kstacking level up